Nice work. I think it would be interesting to hear/read a high-level discussion – not asking for your exact methodology – of how the probabilities in #4 are “calculated” (assuming it’s some art and some science). Another interesting angle would be a follow-up on how the probabilities of some players from 3-4 drafts ago played out.

I definitely think Swain is the best prospect in Sixers range if they don’t trade up too high. Really hope he falls to us

Thanks, Derek. For me, it’s Swain. But I wouldn’t be surprised at a project. As you’ve noted, rookies generally do not roll in and make an impact. The question for me is this: Do the young players on their team get better? (as in coaching)