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7 Comments (3 conversations)
jamesiy
Is there a way to pry an asset out of Nashville for either buying or not buying Johansen out? As they will have repurcusions too, correct?
rebusflyer
Excellent analysis. I do have two questions: 1) if Johansen is sent down to the Phantoms, wouldn’t that reduce Johansen’s Cap Hit to the Flyers this year by approximately $1MM (and therefore change the trade analysis)? and
2) Similarly, why shouldn’t the fact that the Flyers’ Cap Hit was reduced by $2,650,000 (Walker’s Cap Hit) also factor into the trade analysis? At least for this season, the net Cap Hit impact of trading Walker and taking on Johansen’s contract is a maximum of $1,350,000 (less if he’s buried in LHV). Your thoughts?
Charlie O'Connor
Author1. It doesn’t really change the analysis for me, because the cap hit is still technically on their books, as is the money. And think of it this way — I’m giving the Flyers credit for $1.4 mil worth of value from Johansen this year because that’s about the value he’d be expected to provide as an NHL player. If they send him down, yes, they’re saving about $1 mil, but suddenly they’re also not getting any NHL value from him, either. The math ends up being about the same both ways.
2. I don’t look at it that way, because Walker was providing surplus value above his $2.65 mil cap hit. That’s why Colorado wanted him in the first place. Sure, it was a money-in/money-out trade, but all I’m really focused on is the return in my analysis because it’s not like Walker was a cap albatross — the opposite, in fact.
rebusflyer
Thanks for the reply 🙏
Scott Ferry
It would be an almost perfect season if this added to the injuries resulted in a late season collapse where the Flyers didn’t make the playoffs and somehow won the lottery with like a 3% chance.
We would have gotten to watch a fun season and still somehow end up with Celebrini. It’s definitely not going to happen. I don’t know if it’s even mathematically possible for the Flyers to drop to 11th from the bottom at this point.
A kid can dream though.
Scott Ferry
Actually it is very mathematically possible. If the five teams behind them managed to win three more of their remaining games than the Flyers…
Scott Ferry
I mean to say five more games.